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As we kick off the first report of 2026, markets are sending clearer, but more complex, signals beneath the surface. Bitcoin is coming off one of its most volatile years on record, consolidating after a sharp pullback from October highs as liquidity, ETF flows, and macro uncertainty cap momentum.
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Here’s what we’ll cover today:
🌍 Market Recap & Macro Overview: Bitcoin closes out a highly volatile year; speculative positioning turns sharply bearish on the dollar; global bonds outperform U.S. debt; and U.S. equities push to new highs despite mounting valuation and concentration risks.
📈 Bitcoin (BTC) Breakdown: BTC continues to battle the critical 88,800–90,000 resistance zone as ETF flows remain mixed and liquidation clusters build on both sides, reinforcing a range-bound environment heading into early 2026.
📊 Ethereum (ETH) Outlook: ETH tests the key 3,059 resistance while ETH/BTC holds above long-term support, signaling stabilization but not yet a confirmed trend shift as ETF participation stays muted.
🚀 Solana (SOL) Analysis: SOL approaches the pivotal 130 level alongside BTC and ETH, with liquidation data highlighting rising volatility and the importance of a coordinated breakout across majors to confirm renewed crypto strength.
Let’s dive in 👇
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🌍 Market Recap & Macro Overview:
Bitcoin’s volatile year neatly captured the broader crypto narrative. In 2025, BTC traded within a 70% range, underscoring that it remains highly volatile despite its growing maturity. After reaching an all-time high above $120,000 in October, price has retraced roughly 30%, once again highlighting how critical timing is in financial markets, both on entries and exits. In today’s report, we break down what comes next for Bitcoin and where we see the key risks and opportunities emerging from here.
Bitcoin Swung in a 70% Range Last Year (Source: Bloomberg)
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