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Hello and happy Monday!

The U.S. dollar is searching for direction after a sharp 2025 decline, and U.S. manufacturing remains stuck in contraction. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin has shown renewed strength, pushing to new short-term highs and hinting at improving risk appetite. 

This week may prove critical in determining whether these early signals develop into a more durable trend as we move deeper into 2026.

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Here’s what we’ll cover today:

  • 📈 Market Review: The dollar continues to consolidate as manufacturing remains in contraction, Japanese bond yields surge to multi-decade highs, and Bitcoin rallies above $93,000.

  • 🔍 Current Market Conditions: Crypto sentiment remains cautious, despite Bitcoin’s rally. ETF flows turned decisively positive on Friday, reinforcing the importance of institutional participation.

  • 👀 Key Events Ahead: Markets open reacting to the Venezuela situation, while ISM Manufacturing PMI, labor market data, and Friday’s Jobs Report will be closely watched.

  • 📊 Technical Analysis: Bitcoin has successfully reclaimed the $90,000 level for the first time since mid-December. Upside liquidity has largely been cleared, while downside risk remains if momentum fades.

  • 🚀 Altcoin Insights: TOTAL3 continues higher after reclaiming key resistance, but ETH/BTC weakness confirms that Bitcoin remains the primary leader.

Let’s dive in 👇

📈 Market Review:

The Bloomberg Dollar Index continues to trade sideways just below 100 after a sharp decline from its 2025 peak near 110. The key question for investors is whether this downtrend has run its course or if further dollar weakness lies ahead. A softer dollar supports emerging markets, and risk assets, while easing pressure on dollar-denominated debt. However, any renewed hawkish shift from the Fed could quickly challenge this trend and stabilize the dollar.

Further to Fall? (Source: Bloomberg)

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