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Hello and happy Monday!

This week marks a critical turning point as the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its latest interest rate decision. With inflation still above target, equities near all-time highs, and Bitcoin rebounding from mid-October lows, investors are navigating a week where every statement, number, and trade flow could dictate market direction. Risk and opportunity are balanced on a knife’s edge.

Here’s what we’ll cover today:

📉 Market Review: Global equities reach fresh all-time highs amid optimism over a potential U.S.-China trade deal. Volatility remains elevated, highlighted by the October 16th spike, the second-most extreme in two decades.
🔍 Current Market Conditions: ETF flows are mixed but show renewed interest, while sentiment improves as the Fear & Greed Index moves back to neutral territory.
👀 Key Events Ahead: Wednesday’s Fed decision is the week’s focal point, with the market expecting a 25bps rate cut to 3.75%–4.00%. Trump–Xi discussions and MegaCap tech earnings also create conditions for rapid sentiment shifts and potential volatility across markets.
📊 Technical Analysis: Bitcoin reclaims $115,300, technically invalidating the bearish trend, opening the door for sustained upside. Bullish and bearish scenarios are outlined with key entry and exit levels for traders.
🚀 Altcoin Insights: Altcoins rebounded from mid-October lows, with TOTAL3 reclaiming $1T. ETH/BTC consolidates just below 0.03723.