Hey there, and happy Friday!
This week’s spotlight shifted to a very different macro backdrop. Bitcoin has staged an impressive comeback, reclaiming the psychologically important $120,000 level after months of consolidation. The dollar continues its weakening trend, gold has surged to fresh records, and equities are breaking into new highs on AI optimism.
As Q4 begins, markets appear to be leaning into a “goldilocks” setup, with investors hedging across multiple assets rather than betting on a single narrative.
Here’s what we’ll cover today:
🌍 Market Recap & Macro Overview: Bitcoin back above $120K, dollar stays weak, gold rallies to records, and equities climb past 6,700 on AI momentum.
📈 Bitcoin (BTC) Breakdown: BTC has gained over 11% this week, reclaiming key levels with ETF inflows strong. Next stop: all-time highs within reach.
📊 Ethereum (ETH) Outlook: ETH surged +19% since late September, retesting $4,459 support. ETF inflows and ETH/BTC reclaim attempts in focus.
🚀 Solana (SOL) Analysis: SOL bounced +22% off $191 lows, reclaiming $222 and pushing toward $242. SOL/BTC shows renewed strength vs. Bitcoin.
Let’s dive in 👇
🌍 Market Recap & Macro Overview:
Bitcoin is staging an impressive comeback, reclaiming the psychologically important $120,000 level after spending much of late summer and early fall in consolidation. This resurgence aligns with a broader risk-on environment and growing institutional adoption of digital assets as diversification tools. A decisive break through current resistance could mark the start of another leg higher in the ongoing bull market. Check our weekend trade scenarios and in-depth analysis below.

Bitcoin Approaches Record High (Source: Bloomberg)
The U.S. dollar has continued its pronounced weakening trend in 2025, down more than 8% year-to-date on the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a thesis we have consistently held and that has played out strongly. While the dollar has steadied somewhat in recent months around the 1,200 level, it remains well below January highs and still faces pressure from shifting monetary policy expectations.

Dollar Lost More Than 8% This Year (Source: Bloomberg)
Gold has surged to record highs, briefly entering overbought territory before pulling back slightly. The 14-day RSI is well above 70, suggesting a pause or consolidation may be due after the metal’s sharp rally from the $2,536 low last year. Dollar weakness, geopolitical uncertainty, and central bank accumulation continue to provide strong tailwinds, though near-term cooling would be healthy given stretched technicals.

Gold Has Moved Into Overbought Territory (Source: Bloomberg)
The S&P 500 has also pushed into fresh record territory, fueled by sustained optimism over artificial intelligence and its transformative impact across industries. After briefly dipping below 5,000 earlier in the year, the index has staged a relentless climb past 6,700, underlining the strength of U.S. equities despite macro uncertainties.

US Stocks Rally to Record High on AI Optimism (Source: Bloomberg)
As Q4 2025 begins, markets appear to be pricing in a “goldilocks” setup: growth remains strong enough to support risk assets, while currency concerns drive flows into safe havens like gold and bitcoin. The concurrent strength in equities, precious metals, and crypto shows investors are hedging across multiple scenarios rather than committing to a single narrative.
We’re now entering the crypto section, where we break down Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana in detail. Inside you’ll find technical and fundamental insights, plus long and short trade setups to position smartly for the weekend.
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