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Hello and happy Monday!
Weâre entering the final month of the year with markets facing a very different tone than just a week ago. After hovering above $90,000 for days, Bitcoin sold off sharply as a sudden spike in Japanese government bond yields triggered a global risk-off move. Liquidity conditions tightened fast, the yen strengthened, and high-beta assets, crypto first among them, reacted immediately. At the same time, global equities have paused after months of strength, while emerging markets are showing early signs of resilience.
Hereâs what weâll cover today:
đ Market Review: Bitcoin drops nearly $5,000 to start December as a spike in Japanese bond yields triggers a global risk-off move. Equities cool after a seven-month rally, while emerging markets continue to firm.
đ Current Market Conditions: Fear & Greed rises slightly but remains in fear at 23. ETF flows stay positive but weak, with no meaningful buying pressure behind the move. Liquidity remains thin.
đ Key Events Ahead: A data-heavy macro week: ISM Manufacturing, JOLTS, ADP, Services PMIs, Jobless Claims, PCE, and Consumer Sentiment. Liquidity-sensitive markets like BTC could react sharply.
đ Technical Analysis: BTC rejects 92,000, breaks 88,800, and trades above 84,200. The higher-timeframe structure remains bearish, with both upside and downside scenarios active depending on how price interacts with key levels.
đ Altcoin Insights: TOTAL3 breaks below 847B and turns lower. ETH/BTC holds above 0.03255 support. Altcoin structure remains bearish, keeping our allocation focused on BTC and high-cap leaders.
