Good morning and welcome to this week’s altcoin market update.

The past week has been all about strength, not just in crypto, but across global markets. Stocks are pushing to record highs, bond yields are sliding, and the macro environment is starting to feel like a tailwind rather than a headwind. Bitcoin remains just below its all-time highs, holding key levels, while altcoins are showing the first signs of breaking free from their ranges.

With BTC dominance slipping and several major altcoin metrics flipping bullish, the setup for a rotation into alts is becoming increasingly compelling. The pieces are falling into place, now we’re watching for confirmation to trigger the next leg higher.

Here’s what we’ll cover today:

  • 📅 Macro Review: Equity markets hit record highs as inflation fears fade and bond yields collapse. We break down why this environment could be the perfect stage for Bitcoin’s next move and why altcoins could follow quickly.

  • 📊 Crypto Market Overview: Bitcoin holds a key support after weekend volatility while TOTAL3 and OTHERS reclaim major levels. We map out the upside targets and where caution is still warranted.

  • 🔍 Bitcoin vs. Altcoins: BTC dominance breaks support, OTHERS.D surges, classic signs of an altcoin-friendly market. We outline the bullish and bearish paths from here.

  • 📈 Key Reversal Signals: ETH/BTC continues its breakout while OTHERS/BTC eyes a reclaim of a historical golden trendline. Here’s what that could mean for sustained altcoin momentum.

  • 🚀 Chart of the Week: ??? continues to impress after a bounce from $???, now pushing toward a key reclaim at $???. We share the levels we’re watching for both breakout and pullback trades.

Let’s dive in.

📅 Macro Review:

The S&P 500's continued march to record highs demonstrates that markets are betting inflation fears were overblown, providing a supportive backdrop for risk-on sentiment. This resilience in traditional markets, combined with the recent CPI data, creates an ideal environment for Bitcoin's next leg higher.

S&P 500 Hits Record as CPI Not as Bad as Feared (Source: Bloomberg)

The two-year Treasury yield experienced a dramatic intraday collapse, falling sharply from above 3.77% to settle near 3.73% as markets increasingly price in Federal Reserve rate cuts. This violent move lower reflects growing confidence that the Fed will be forced to abandon its hawkish stance sooner rather than later, creating an environment historically favorable for risk assets like Bitcoin.

Treasury Two-Year Yield Falls on Bets Fed Will Cut (Source: Bloomberg)

The Congressional Budget Office's latest projections paint a stark picture of America's fiscal future, with debt-to-GDP ratios climbing relentlessly toward 120% by the mid-2030s. This trajectory represents a fundamental debasement of the dollar's purchasing power and validates our core thesis that Bitcoin serves as a superior store of value. As government spending continues to outpace economic growth, the mathematical certainty of currency devaluation becomes increasingly apparent.

Taking Out a Loan on the Future (Source: Bloomberg)

Despite the Fed’s ongoing quantitative tightening, its balance sheet remains elevated, around $6.6 trillion as of late July. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggests there's still room to shrink further, potentially down to $5.8 trillion, before disrupting liquidity frameworks. QE is unlikely to return unless interest rates hit or near zero. Historically, the Fed only resorts to additional asset purchases when it has exhausted traditional rate tools. Right now, economic conditions are not justifying a return to that approach. 

Time for More QE??? (Source: Bloomberg)

Bitcoin doesn’t need QE to move higher, liquidity from global markets, spot ETF inflows, and ongoing adoption cycles can fuel rallies even in a tightening environment, as seen in previous bull runs where BTC outperformed despite restrictive Fed policy.

Right now, the charts are screaming signals we haven’t seen since the last major altcoin breakout and history says moves like this don’t wait for stragglers.

Miss this week’s setup, and you’ll be chasing the market instead of leading it.

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