Markets continue to be shaped by a powerful mix of AI-driven equity strength and underlying macro uncertainty, with capital heavily concentrated in a handful of mega-cap names.

Inside today’s report, you’ll find 12 charts covering Bitcoin’s key support and resistance levels, dominance trends shaping capital rotation, and a tactical Chart of the Week with clearly defined trading setups and risk management guidance.

Here’s what’s in today’s report:

Let’s dive in 👇

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Few charts capture the AI moment better than Nvidia's market cap crossing above India's entire stock market. Nvidia now sits at roughly $5.26 trillion, powered by fiscal 2026 revenues of $215.9 billion, up 65% year over year, as insatiable demand for AI chips shows no sign of slowing. For investors, this is a clear signal of where the world's capital is concentrating.

That concentration is equally visible in U.S. equities, where the S&P 500 has surged back to all-time highs. The engine is the same: AI and tech. Technology stocks have driven roughly 57% of the post-selloff recovery, despite making up only 35% of the index, and 81% of reporting S&P 500 companies have beaten earnings estimates so far, with aggregate growth running at 16.1%. 

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The bond market, however, is not celebrating quite as loudly. The two-year Treasury yield has been pinned in a tight range around 3.8% all month, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than calm. With Jerome Powell's term expiring May 15 and Kevin Warsh set to take over as Fed chair, investors are watching this week's FOMC meeting for any signal about where policy, and the economy, heads next.

Away from macro, a Polymarket data analysis offers a cautionary tale for crypto-native retail investors: bots netted $131 million at regular users' expense over 15 months, with the most aggressive bot wallets alone pulling in $365 million in aggregate. This mirrors what has played out in traditional markets for decades, algorithmic traders systematically extracting value from slower retail participants. Prediction markets may feel decentralized and democratic, but the data suggests they're anything but level.

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Bottom line: The risk is concentration: if AI sentiment shifts, there's little else holding up the market. Meanwhile, bond investors are right to stay cautious, a Fed leadership change, sticky inflation, and $100+ oil are a combination that historically doesn't resolve quietly.

Bitcoin faced rejection at the $78,300 technical level following a failed breakout and an inability to sustain elevated prices, as outlined in Monday's report, not much was needed for the bear case to establish itself.