After a choppy few weeks, crypto just flipped the switch. Bitcoin rocketed into price discovery, Ethereum crossed the $3,000 mark, and Solana finally broke through major resistance. Momentum is back, but so is risk.
With equity markets pushing higher and volatility falling, macro conditions are fueling this move. But ETF flows, liquidation zones, and technical structure still suggest this rally might not be a straight line.
We break it all down in this weekās deep dive, from macro to majors, with updated trade scenarios, chart levels, and what to watch into the weekend.
Hereās what weāre looking at today:
š Market Recap & Macro Context
Big macro shifts, Bitcoin ETF inflows at record levels, and traditional markets wobbly. We connect the dots and show how macro + crypto are colliding to drive momentum.š Bitcoin (BTC) Breakdown
From reclaiming $109.3K to hitting $118K, we cover BTCās explosive breakout, ETF demand, and key liquidation zones to watch for continuation or reversal.š Ethereum (ETH) Outlook
ETH blasted through $3K, ETF flows spiked to multi-month highs, and ETHBTC is approaching a breakout. Hereās where we stand in this rotation, and the risks that remain.š Solana (SOL) Analysis
SOL finally cleared key resistance after weeks of underperformance. But can it hold ground and follow ETHās lead, or is another fakeout looming? We break down the setups.
Letās get into the charts and show you where the real opportunities are hiding. š
šĀ Market Recap & Macro Overview:
First of all, congratulations to all our readers who followed our Bitcoin long recommendations!
Bitcoin has achieved another milestone, hitting a new all-time high of $118,000 this morning. Our long-term bullish thesis continues to play out. All our mentioned Bitcoin long positions have been successful and hit full take profit.
Consider your risk tolerance and portfolio allocation at these elevated levels.
Stocks Rally as Volatility Drops to Lowest Since February (Source: Bloomberg)
The broader market is also showing strength. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often called the market's "fear gaugeā, has dropped to around 15ā16, its lowest reading since February.
A falling VIX often signals investor confidence and tends to align with rising stock prices. Thatās exactly what weāre seeing with the S&P 500, which just broke above 6,200 for the first time ever.Ā
S&P 500 tops overbought levels (Source: Bloomberg)
However, the RSI (Relative Strength Index), a momentum indicator, is now sitting at 71,Ā officially in "overbought" territory. This doesnāt mean a crash is coming, but it does suggest the market might cool off or pull back in the short term.
If you're heavily invested in stocks, now may be a smart time to lock in some gains.
Treasuries Extend Gains After 10-Year Sale (Source: Bloomberg)
Meanwhile, the bond market is settling. After spiking to 4.4% during a five-day sell-off, the 10-year Treasury yield has now eased back to around 4.35% following a recent Treasury auction. This pullback in yields is a positive sign for stocks, especially those that are sensitive to interest rates like tech and real estate.
As long as bond yields remain under control and volatility stays low, equities should continue to have a supportive backdrop.
Now letās dive into the part youāre really here for: the charts, key levels, trade scenarios and whatās next for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana. š„Ā
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